Tracking office occupancy rates across America

About the Barometer report
Office occupancy is a key indicator of how commercial real estate is performing, offering insight into how businesses are using their space. In many markets, Class A+ buildings have continued to attract tenants and command higher rents, even as the broader office sector adjusts to new ways of working. Kastle’s Barometer adds to this picture with proprietary, real-world occupancy data, tracking how buildings are used day to day.

How the data is tracked
Kastle’s Barometer tracks anonymized keycard, fob, and app access data from over 300,000 Kastle users across ten major cities to identify trends in how Americans are returning to the office.

Counting daily access control entries is the most reliable way to measure office return, with the largest sample size of its kind. Occupancy is measured against a pre-pandemic baseline established in early 2020, just before COVID-19 disrupted office attendance. Data is updated weekly, with monthly charts available to track trends.

Workplace pulse: Monthly office occupancy trends

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Occupancy Barometer weekly report

The Barometer’s weekly report summarizes access control data from our business partners in 10 major metro areas, not a national statistical sample. Charted percentages reflect the number of unique authorized user entries in each market relative to a pre-COVID-19 baseline, averaged weekly and updated every Tuesday.

Class A+ Occupancy

Class A+ occupancy dipped slightly as the seasonal August lull began.

  • Class A+ buildings saw a slight dip in occupancy after a strong July, dropping to 77.0% from last week’s 78.4% average nationally.
  • This is consistent with the beginning of an August lull measured in the last few summers.
  • The peak day in all Class A+ buildings across the nation also dipped slightly on Tuesday, down to 92.7% from last week’s 95.2%.
  • A year ago for the same week, Wednesday, July 30, was the peak day at 90.4%, consistent with the 2-to-4-point year-over-year change Kastle has typically reported.

 

Peak Day

A clear Tuesday pattern continued across most markets this week.

  • Tuesday, July 28, was the peak day nationally for all building classes, according to the Kastle 10-City Barometer, which reported a 65.2% average for the day, down slightly from 66.5% the previous Tuesday.
  • Eight of the 10 cities reported Tuesday as the peak day, continuing a June and July pattern of Tuesday and Wednesday sharing the top of the charts.
  • The two cities that reported Wednesday as their peak were Los Angeles at 55.1% and Philadelphia at 49.4%, close to its Wednesday peak of 49.6% the previous week.
  • Austin reported the highest Tuesday peak day at 89.0%.
  • New York City metro reported Tuesday occupancy of 79.8% and Wednesday of 79.3%, continuing its new plateau status.

 

Weekly Average

Nearly every market dipped slightly as the August lull began.

  • The Kastle 10-City Back to Work Barometer was down slightly this week, reflecting the beginning of the normal August lull measured and reported for several summers.
  • Overall, the national average fell nine-tenths of a point to 55.6%.
  • Philadelphia was the only one of the 10 cities that was unchanged, at 41.6%.
  • The other nine cities reported slight declines in occupancy, led by Houston, down 1.6 points to 58.7%, followed by San Jose (-1.4 to 46.6%), Dallas (-1.3 to 62.1%), Chicago (-1.2 to 57.1%), Los Angeles (-1.0 to 48.6%), Washington, D.C. (-0.9 to 51.6%), San Francisco (-0.9 to 47.8%), New York (-0.5 to 65.8%), and Austin (-0.4 to 76.0%).

 

Barometer data science
The most reliable way to measure office return is to count people directly, and daily security card swipes provide the largest sample size for this. For several years, Kastle’s Barometer has tracked weekly office occupancy in ten major metro areas, using anonymized keycard, fob, and KastlePresence app data from over 300,000 Kastle users in those cities (out of 1.8 million Kastle users globally) across 3,400 buildings and 60,000+ businesses in 47 states.
For each cardholder, we count only their first building entry each day, avoiding overcounting from multiple swipes. These daily figures are averaged into a weekly percentage.
That percentage is compared against a pre-pandemic baseline: the average weekly first-swipe activity during a three-week window in February 2020, when office attendance was at its highest. This baseline represents 100%, reflecting normal peak occupancy rather than maximum capacity, which is why some weeks can register above 100%.

FAQs

Q: What timeframe does the Barometer cover?
A: The Barometer week runs Thursday through Wednesday, and weekly reports are typically published on Tuesdays. For example: the report published on Tuesday, October 4, reflects data from Thursday, September 22, through Wednesday, September 28. Federal holidays and weekends are not included in the data.

Q: Can I get Kastle data for a city not included on the Barometer?
A: Kastle secures buildings in cities across the country. We do not publicly release office occupancy rate data for cities outside the ten Barometer markets due to sample sizes for statistical analysis. We occasionally share limited data reflecting other markets with government and nonprofit organizations and partners, but it is not intended for public consumption.

Q: What is the margin of error?
A: The Barometer relies on administrative data (card swipes). The Barometer reflects the universe of all transactions rather than a sample and therefore has no margin of error. “Margins of error” are statistical measures that derive from expected errors due to sampling processes.

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